Financial Independence – The Three Stooges

CINCINNATI BUSINESS COURIER
February 6-12, 1989

Investments
By Charles D. Vaughan

Financial Independence – You can choose to be a winner

THE THREE STOOGES.
You probably think the three stooges are Curly, Larry and Moe. Well they’re not. They are ignorance, apathy and procrastination!

According to a U.S. Department of Commerce study 95 out of 100 Americans are almost totally dependent on Social Security and company retirement plans at retirement. In a fiscal sense, only 5 percent of the population in the study achieved true financial independence. That means having the ability to maintain one’s chosen lifestyle without continuing to work.  Most people had the opportunity to win financial independence, but didn’t make it. Why?

Blame it on the three stooges. There is an old story about a lecturer discussing financial management. He spied one old guy sitting in the front looking like he was drifting into the Land of Nod. Suspecting that the wife had dragged him to the talk, the lecturer addressed his question at the dozer.  “Sir, do you know the two leading causes of financial failure?” Without opening an eyelid or looking up, the man shot back, “I don’t know and I don’t care.”

“Right the first time ignorance and apathy,” the lecturer said. Now if you just add procrastination, you got the big three. You may notice that these are personal characteristics, not financial. In many years of working with investors, I have observed that high income does not always correlate with financial independence.

Those who succeed in the financial sense are frequently middle income people who don’t feel the pressure to spend that some executives do. They have several common qualities that could be instructive to any financial planner.

First, winners almost always have a realistic goal in their mind. It may be just to quit working at 65 and sustain their current lifestyle. It may be a lot grander, but it is a real vision at a determined date. Second, they nearly always have made a habit of saving a fixed amount or percentage of income right off the top. Third, they have a healthy skepticism about risk-reward ideas. Like Will Rogers, they are more concerned with the return of their money than the return on their money. Finally, they have a strong aversion to turning complete control of their money over to anyone.

In other words they take an active concern for their future and have a desire to determine their own destiny. They are willing to use the proven principles of disciplined saving and compounded growth.  They keep up with current ideas and rates of return. But, they are not “too smart” with their money and shun the cutting edge of investment “wisdom.” No stooges here.

This profile may sound like a stockbroker’s nightmare. Here is a guy who has a lot of money saved up, but who doesn’t want to listen. He won’t put his money with a discretionary account manager, he won’t swing with the market and he doesn’t care much for new ideas. Not likely to generate much commission.

Indeed why would such an investor need or want a financial planner either? Recent surveys have shown a high level of interest in three specific areas. First, tax saving ideas. Most people recognize that they are probably missing opportunities that could save them money. Second, risk reduction. There is a general acceptance that financial risks are hard to define now. Federal and foreign debt, bank safety and potential inflation issues concern even the most conservative investors. They want to know they have covered these risks. Third, due to the complexity of today’s financial environment, many people feel they need help in pulling all the pieces together.

Winners have solved the procrastination issue by recognizing very early that time is money. It will never get any easier to save. Money works best when it works longest. Winners have solved the apathy issue by taking personal responsibility for their future. They don’t expect their government, their company or some financial wizard to do it for them. Winners have solved the ignorance issue by recognizing their own limitations. They take a hardnosed approach to innovative solutions, but are willing to study and to get professional help when they need it.

Financial success is more a matter of attitude and process than it is of income. Being a winner is a conscious choice not of how to start, but when. Doing nothing is also a choice  it’s up to you  Curly, Larry or Moe?

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Strong Survive Investment Jungle

CINCINNATI BUSINESS COURIER
January 9-15, 1989

Investments
By Charles D. Vaughan

Only the strong survive in the investment jungle

“Welcome to the Jungle!”
-Tarzan (to Jane), 1914
The success of the Bengals this year has given new meaning to this time honored quote. In fact, Bengalmania has turned the whole city into a jungle inhabited by funfilled denizens.  There seems to be a spirit of competition in creating new ways to, color things orange and black.

This is great when done in the spirit of fun and joy. In stark contrast, the investment community seems to be competing in coloring things in murky grays and browns. The Crash of 1987 and the ensuing period of lousy earnings for investment firms seem to have accelerated the trend toward the obscure.

In pursuit of lost commissions some firms have created new products and services to appeal to the investing public. The result is a geometric expansion of investment media. The number of different types of investment vehicles is growing so rapidly that I doubt if anyone can keep up.

At the root of all investments there are really only two basic ideas. The first is ownership or equity. You can own some type of property either alone or with other people. You can use it for your own pleasure or you sell it to someone else for profit. The second is debt. You can let someone else use your property (or money which is merely a substitute for property) and charge them rent for it.

From these simple roots innumerable strange, twisted and incomprehensible plants have grown.  For most investors now it truly is a jungle. Even with a professional guide and a sharp machete of experience, it is tough to hack through the intertwined vegetation of investment concepts.

It is, virtually impossible to tell the bankers from the brokers from the insurance people  much less the products the offer. They are all seeking new ways to attract and keep more of their clients’ dollars. And they are, all seeking new ways to branch out into more revenue generating services for their clients. This isn’t necessarily bad. It just places responsibility on the investor to know what is being offered, and why. No single entity in the financial services business has all the answers or all the means to satisfy investor needs. Not even me  darn it.

Since you are likely to be somewhat alone in the jungle, let me give you a few survival tips. First, recognize that investment for most people centers on reducing risk. That means balancing all forms of risk against the total reward. It also means diversifying enough to avoid catastrophe. Second, investment success is a long term concept. High short term performance is difficult to sustain and may actually be destructive to the long term program. Third, nothing beats steady compounding with regular, disciplined capital additions. Finally, only net results after all costs and taxes have any meaning.

With these concepts in mind, you may find these tools helpful in untangling any investment proposition:

1.) Trim it back to the roots. Find out whether you are in the position of an owner or creditor.  What compensation can you expect, from whom and how likely are you to get it? When is it due and what can you do if you don’t get it? Can you get out if you want to?

2.) Can you see both the trees and the forest?  Look at the basic economics of the proposition. What is the source of profit in the deal? Is it in a field that is profitable? Is it a proven or a new idea? Do you have to make history to make money? Do the people running the enterprise have the experience and track record to suggest success?

Where are you on the food chain? How much do you have to pay to get in and out of the deal? How much do the people running it take before you get your cut? Do they get theirs even if you don’t get yours? Are there any conflicts of interest? Are the people advising you to buy it the creators or managers of the deal? What do the promoters lose if it doesn’t work out?

As the trend toward more complex types of investment continues, the investor’s position will become even more difficult to determine.

We are likely to feel more and more like Dorothy in the Wizard of Oz. “Lions and tigers and bears, oh my!

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